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InterDigital, Inc. (IDCC)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 delivered record results: revenue $252.8M (+140% y/y), diluted EPS $4.09 (+190% y/y), Adjusted EBITDA $198.1M (+272% y/y), with performance above the company’s Q4 outlook; upside was driven by $136M catch-up from OPPO, Lenovo and ZTE agreements .
- Management introduced FY25 guidance (revenue $660–$760M; Non-GAAP EPS $9.69–$12.92) and increased the quarterly dividend 33% to $0.60; Q1 2025 outlook was later raised on Mar 6 after signing a major Chinese smartphone license (revenue $202–$206M; Non-GAAP EPS $3.66–$3.90) .
- Strategic catalysts include Disney streaming enforcement actions (multi-jurisdiction litigation), pending Samsung mobile arbitration decision, and continuing smartphone and CE/IoT license momentum; management targets ARR growth and strong free cash flow in 2025 .
- S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable at time of request; comparisons reference company outlook and actuals; estimate-driven beats/misses will be reassessed when access is restored (S&P Global data unavailable).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Record quarter and year: Q4 revenue $252.8M and FY revenue $868.5M, with Non-GAAP EPS $5.15 in Q4 and $14.97 for FY; Adjusted EBITDA margin reached 78% in Q4 and 63% for FY .
- Licensing momentum: OPPO license, ZTE renewal, binding arbitration agreement with Lenovo; ~70% of global smartphone market now under license. CEO: “We have now licensed top 4 largest smartphone manufacturers, and approximately 70% of annual smartphone shipment worldwide.” .
- Cash generation and capital returns: Q4 operating cash flow $192M; Q4 free cash flow $169M; nearly $1.9B cumulative capital returned since 2011; dividend raised to $0.60 .
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What Went Wrong
- Q3 sequential softness from lower catch-ups and Huawei expiration before rebounding in Q4; Q3 revenue $128.7M (-8% y/y), Adjusted EBITDA $64.8M (-22% y/y) .
- Non-GAAP EPS in Q4 came in below guidance due to higher convert-related dilution at a higher share price and lower-than-expected non-GAAP adjustments, despite strong GAAP EPS (CFO commentary) .
- Streaming monetization still early; management initiated Disney litigation and does not expect material 2025 revenue from services, indicating timeline/visibility risk .
Financial Results
Core P&L vs prior quarters
Narrative comparisons:
- Q4 vs Q3: strength driven by $136M catch-up from OPPO/Lenovo/ZTE and recurring revenue growth (Q4 recurring revenue $117M, +13% y/y) .
- Q4 vs prior year: revenue +140% y/y to $252.8M; Adjusted EBITDA +272% y/y to $198.1M; Non-GAAP EPS +265% y/y to $5.15 .
Results vs Company Outlook (Q4)
Driver: late-quarter license signings (OPPO, ZTE) and Lenovo arbitration outcome recognition drove catch-up revenue above prior outlook; non-GAAP EPS shortfall due to higher convert dilution and lower non-GAAP adjustments (CFO) .
Segment/program breakdown
Notes: Q4 smartphone +162% y/y; CE/IoT/Auto +28% y/y; Q3 saw CE/IoT strength while smartphone reflected lower catch-ups and Huawei expiration .
KPIs and balance sheet
Guidance Changes
Why changes: Q1 raised on new multi-year Chinese smartphone license, lifting ARR by ~$40M to ~$500M; FY maintained pending additional agreements/arbitration timing .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “In 2024, we delivered the best business results in our history… our technology [is] more critical than ever to an ecosystem generating roughly $6 trillion in economic value every year” .
- CEO on smartphone coverage: “We have now licensed top 4 largest smartphone manufacturers, and approximately 70% of annual smartphone shipment worldwide” .
- CEO on streaming: “We initiated a multi-jurisdictional enforcement action against Disney… We believe our video technology underpins the viability of the video streaming industry” .
- CFO: “Q4 revenue included catch-up revenue of $136 million related to our fourth quarter license agreements with OPPO, Lenovo and ZTE… Adjusted EBITDA margin of 78%” .
- CFO on ARR: “In Q4, we had $117 million of recurring revenue… multiply by 4, and you get $468 million of ARR, which is by far a record level… targeting double-digit growth in ARR by end of 2025” .
Q&A Highlights
- Disney litigation timing and scope: Management engaged Disney for >2.5 years; litigation now necessary; timing uncertain; open to negotiation during litigation .
- 2025 revenue construction: Guidance reflects multi-path outcomes across renewals and new agreements; services not expected to be material in 2025; aiming double-digit ARR growth .
- Samsung arbitration: Last hearing Oct; decision expected after New Year; management believes valuation should reflect higher portfolio value vs prior contract, but outcome rests with arbitrator .
- Convert/dilution and capital structure: Dilution depends on stock price; hedge reduces net dilution; with >$500M net cash, company has greater optionality going forward .
- Geopolitics: Standards are global and open; company actively engages policymakers; sees strong multi-country support for IP licensing model .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global Wall Street consensus estimates were unavailable at time of request due to access limits. We therefore benchmarked Q4 results against the company’s Q4 outlook and will reassess beats/misses vs consensus once S&P Global data access is restored (S&P Global data unavailable).
- Given the late-quarter license signings, consensus may need upward revisions for FY25 recurring and catch-up assumptions; caution that Q1 guidance excluded late-quarter agreements before the Mar 6 update .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Licensing momentum is the core driver; Q4 upside came from OPPO/Lenovo/ZTE catch-ups, with smartphone coverage near ~70% of shipments and a major Chinese vendor added in March—supports recurring base and 2025 ARR growth .
- Near-term catalysts: Samsung arbitration decision; progress on Disney litigation/streaming monetization; additional smartphone/TV renewals; watch for Q1 report reflecting raised outlook .
- Capital returns remain robust: dividend lifted to $0.60 and buyback capacity in place; strong FCF and near-$1B cash underpin optionality on converts and enforcement strategy .
- Non-GAAP EPS sensitivity to converts: Dilution varies with share price; hedge mitigates issuance; monitor share count vs guidance (33.8M GAAP diluted in updated Q1) .
- CE/IoT and video services expand TAM: CE/IoT shows durable growth; services are a longer runway—litigation suggests conviction in portfolio value but timing/quantum uncertain .
- Expect ARR and FCF to trend higher in 2025 via renewals/new agreements; management reiterated multi-path framework to reach guided ranges .
- Tactical trading: Stock likely responds to arbitration outcomes, new licenses, and litigation developments; Q1 raised outlook suggests strong early 2025 prints .